Sr. Forecast Analyst （Global Demand Planning)

岗位职责：

1. Demand Forecast Development &
Maintenance
- Develop and maintain accurate demand forecasts for assigned markets, categories, or product portfolios across agreed planning horizons.
- Build and manage baseline statistical forecasts and adjust for known demand drivers such as promotions, product solutions, community activation, seasonality, pricing changes, and launches.
- Drive discipline and partnership necessary to identify improvement opportunities in forecast accuracy, data quality, and planning efficiency within assigned scope.
2. Market &
Business Understanding &
Analysis
- Analyze historical sales, trends, and forecast performance to identify underlying patterns and key drivers of demand variability.
- Monitor forecast accuracy and bias for assigned scope, escalating risks or concerns with clear data backed insights.
- Provide scenario analysis (upside/downside with rationales, promotion lifts, launch volume ranges) as inputs into planning discussions.
3. Promotions &
Launch Support
- Support demand planning for promotions, new product launches and product solution activations, including volume timing, phasing, halo effect and basic cannibalization assumptions.
- Track performance of promotions, new product launches and product solution activations versus forecast, highlighting learnings and opportunities for improvement.
4. Cross Functional Collaboration
- Partner closely with D&
A, Marketing, Sales, Finance, and Supply Planning to align on assumptions and demand drivers.
- Gather, validate, and incorporate commercial inputs into the demand forecast, ensuring assumptions are clearly understood and documented.
- Participate actively in forecast reviews, S&
OP/IBP, and alignment meetings, representing demand inputs clearly and objectively.

任职要求：
Required Knowledge, Skills and Abilities:
• BS/BA degree or above. Majors in Statistics, math, economics, supply chain, or business administration are preferred.
6+ years of forecasting experiences.
• Supply Chain &
Forecasting Acumen: Strong understanding of end to end supply chain functions and demand forecasting concepts, including statistical modeling, halo, cannibalization, and probability based scenarios. Apply appropriate statistical and AIML techniques to improve forecast quality.
• Analytical Problem Solving &
Judgment: Integrate multiple inputs into coherent demand forecasts, compare alternatives, identify patterns and insights, and reach sound, fact based conclusions that balance cost, service, and sales outcomes.
• Business &
Commercial Understanding: Holistic understanding of sales, marketing strategies and plans, and business models and key drivers, and how they collectively influence demand.
• Impactful Communication &
Presentation: Ability to translate complex analyses and assumptions into clear, concise insights and develop engaging, insight driven presentations to enable understanding and decision making across stakeholders.
• Cross Functional Facilitation: Build strong working relationships across functions and levels, lead productive, data driven discussions to align on forecasts, surface key insights, influence outcomes and drive consensus.

Desired Attributes：
- Sensitivity and Adaptation: Stay attuned to changing business dynamics, underlying patterns and logics, and be able to apply and adjust thinking frameworks to adapt to changes.
- Working with ambiguity: Be comfortable with ambiguity in strategies, GTM plans and activation models especially in early stages, and proactively drive clarity by alignment and build workable assumptions where needed.
- Personal Effectiveness &
Mindset: Self driven, decisive, resilient to feedback, and able to think quickly while managing frequent, high impact decisions.
- Learning &
Growth Orientation: Demonstrates curiosity, active listening, and continuous learning to strengthen forecasting judgment and business acumen

【职位类别】经理级
【学历要求】本科及以上
【招聘人数】1
【招聘项目】日常招聘
【所属公司】安利(中国)日用品有限公司